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Market Gets Its 50 Basis Points, but Fed Forecasts a Higher Peak Rate and a Worsening ’23 Economy

Market Gets Its 50 Basis Points, but Fed Forecasts a Higher Peak Rate and a Worsening ’23 Economy

Key Takeaways After Fed Raises Rates 50 Basis Points, the Market Slumps, Then Quickly Recovers Before Ending Lower FOMC’s Declining Economic Projections, Rising Inflation Forecast, Provide Initial Pain When Could Rates Be Headed Down? Possibly Not Until ’24 Shawn Cruz, Head Trading Strategist, TD Ameritrade (Wednesday Post-Fed) The Federal Reserve’s rate decision today wasn’t a curveball for […]

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November Outlook: Early Events Could Set Tone as Investors Await Fed Meeting, Jobs Report, and Midterm Vote

November Outlook: Early Events Could Set Tone as Investors Await Fed Meeting, Jobs Report, and Midterm Vote

Key Takeaways FOMC Meeting, Jobs Report, and Election Kick Off Month and Could Set Tone November Earnings Focus Turns Toward Retail Sector with Holiday Shopping Front and Center Another Robust Jobs Report Might Raise Doubts About Interest Rate Impact on Economy Shawn Cruz, Head Trading Strategist, TD Ameritrade November kicks off with a trifecta of market-moving […]

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‘Experiences’ Over Shopping Bags: How Badly Have Changing Consumer Behavior, Inventory Problems Hurt Retail Margins?

‘Experiences’ Over Shopping Bags: How Badly Have Changing Consumer Behavior, Inventory Problems Hurt Retail Margins?

Key Takeaways Retail Earnings Season Begins Next Week, Defining Consumer Demand Ahead of Holidays Investors Check the Receipts for Walmart, Home Depot, Target, Lowe’s, Macy’s Inventory and Inflation Concerns Have Dogged Stores in ’22, and Some Cut Their Outlooks More Than Once Shawn Cruz, Head Trading Strategist, TD Ameritrade If you’d rather spend your disposable income on a […]

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Last Call for Santa? Stock Futures Move Up After Earnings Boost, But Big Housing, Inflation Reports Loom

Last Call for Santa? Stock Futures Move Up After Earnings Boost, But Big Housing, Inflation Reports Loom

Key Takeaways Falling Volatility and Yields Contribute to Early Strength in Stock Futures Micron Earnings After the Close Returns Softening Chip Sector to the Spotlight Pre-Holiday Data Crunch Begins Today with Existing Home Sales, GDP Tomorrow Shawn Cruz, Head Trading Strategist, TD Ameritrade (Wednesday Market Open) It’s the shortest day of the year, so maybe market participants are trying to make up for […]

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Cue the Grinch: Jobless Claims and GDP Data Signal the Fed May Have to Stay Tough on Rates

Cue the Grinch: Jobless Claims and GDP Data Signal the Fed May Have to Stay Tough on Rates

Key Takeaways GDP, Initial Jobless Claims Ring the Alarm: The Economy Isn’t Slowing PCE Leads Friday’s Data Parade—What Will the Fed’s Favorite Inflation Indicator Show? Semiconductor Stocks Under Attack After Disappointing Micron Earnings, GDP Data Shawn Cruz, Head Trading Strategist, TD Ameritrade (Thursday Market Open) The Federal Reserve apparently still has work to do, judging from fresh data […]

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Sizzle, Then Fizzle: Strong Economic Data Spark Midday Sell-Off, but Late Comeback Hints at Resilience

Sizzle, Then Fizzle: Strong Economic Data Spark Midday Sell-Off, but Late Comeback Hints at Resilience

Key Takeaways Hotter-than-Expected Jobless Claims, GDP Rekindle Bearish Sentiment Chips Lead Technology Stocks Toward Their Worst December Since 2002 The VIX Jumps and So Do Yields as Fed Worries Rise Shawn Cruz, Head Trading Strategist, TD Ameritrade (Thursday Market Close) This December blizzard keeps on howling, and we’re not talking about the snowstorm sweeping across much of […]

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